Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Advisory Number 6

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Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

000
WTNT25 KNHC 082031
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  54.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  54.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  53.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N  57.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N  59.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.4N  61.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.7N  62.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.1N  62.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N  61.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  70SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.1N  56.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  54.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG

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