Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
000
FONT14 KNHC 291455
PWSAT4
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PATRICK AFB 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FT PIERCE FL 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
W PALM BEACH 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 83(87) X(87) X(87)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 58(58) X(58) X(58)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) X(31) X(31)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 13 9(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 10 6(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
ANDROS 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GREAT EXUMA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
