Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025
000
FONT14 KNHC 271450
PWSAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 5(17)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 5(25)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 14(24) 4(28)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 18(34) 4(38)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 16(32) 3(35)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 16(34) 3(37)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 2(20)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 15(39) 3(42)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 14(37) 2(39)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 10(36) 2(38)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 11(38) 1(39)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) 1(16)
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 14(29) 6(35) 2(37)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 13(28) 7(35) 2(37)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 9(27) 4(31) 2(33)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 5(22) 3(25) 1(26)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 2(18) 1(19)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GFAM 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 20(45) 5(50) 2(52) X(52)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 1 27(28) 26(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) 1(57)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ANDROS 34 3 31(34) 4(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) 1(40)
ANDROS 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 12 6(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 1(20)
SAN SALVADOR 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART