Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
000
FONT15 KNHC 082032
PWSAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT JOHN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
SABA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
BARBUDA 34 X 10(10) 20(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
AVES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DOMINICA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BERG