Tropical Depression Nine Forecast Advisory Number 4

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Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025

688 
WTNT24 KNHC 271449
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  76.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  76.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  76.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.0N  76.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.4N  77.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.1N  77.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.9N  78.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.6N  78.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.7N  78.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 31.3N  77.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 160NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 120SW 220NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  76.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART

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