Hurricane Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 23

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Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 27 2025

000
WTNT23 KNHC 270241
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0300 UTC MON OCT 27 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  77.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......170NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  77.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  77.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N  78.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.0N  77.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N  76.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N  75.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.4N  73.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  80SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 130SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 30.1N  67.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  95SE  65SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 38.1N  56.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 200SE 190SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  77.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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